Kagan and the "Surge" Protection

Image: Fred Kagan

(Conspiracy Nation, 12/25/06) -- This is the guy, Fred Kagan (image, left), who, with ruffled hair, dreamed up the "surge" concept. "Ah, yes," comment some Americans, "we all know how surge protection can be a good thing, to prevent electronic problems." What a sly move, to call increased troop deployments to Iraq "surge protection." Who can be against "surge protection"?

Just what really is this "surge protection" that Kagan has devised? And who is Fred Kagan anyway?

Already, there are semantic arguments, as in the previous Iraq "civil war" thumb wrestling.

"On The Media," described as "America's only national radio program devoted to media criticism and analysis," invited "Mr. Surge Protection" to appear on their show, broadcast here (Champaign, Illinois) yesterday. Discussion focused on precise definition of the "surge" idea. Kagan claimed the media has not been getting his concept quite right. (http://www.onthemedia.org/transcripts/2006/12/22/01)

Kagan works for the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). According to the Wikipedia reference, "More than two dozen AEI alumni have served either in a Bush administration policy post or on one of the government's many panels and commissions." Kagan also reportedly is a "signatory of the Project for the New American Century (PNAC)". ("Fred Kagan Explains 'The Surge'", http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/12/17/8473/9725) The PNAC, in one of their papers, famously yearned for a "new Pearl Harbor," to whit, "the process of transformation, even if it brings revolutionary change, is likely to be a long one, absent some catastrophic and catalyzing event — like a new Pearl Harbor." (qtd. in "Project for the New American Century," Wikipedia reference, Dec. 25, 2006)

To get Kagan's "surge protection" concept quite right, Conspiracy Nation found an "executive summary" at the American Enterprise Institute's web site. ("A Plan for Success in Iraq," by Frederick W. Kagan. http://www.aei.org/publications/pubID.25292/pub_detail.asp)

"Iraq has reached a critical point. The strategy of relying on a political process to eliminate the insurgency has failed. Rising sectarian violence threatens to break America’s will to fight. This violence will destroy the Iraqi government, armed forces, and people if it is not rapidly controlled." (Kagan, op. cit.)

From there, suggests Kagan, a domino situation would occur, with failure of the Iraq domino setting loose a line of other dominoes (Mideast nations). To prevent this, Kagan proposes a "surge of seven Army brigades and Marine regiments" in early 2007, and that "ground forces must accept longer tours for several years. National Guard units will have to accept increased deployments during this period." (Kagan, op. cit.)

Surprisingly, most Americans have grasped that Kagan's "surge protection" plan is not about defending home electronics against electric surges. A poll conducted in mid-December showed only 11 percent of respondents supported his "surge protection" plan. ("Troop 'surge' plan for Iraq meets growing opposition in US," AFP.)

In this regard, however, George W. Bush is expected to ask Congress for new budget appropriations after it reconvenes in January. "Surge protection" costs money, despite Paul Wolfowitz's 2003 claim that the Iraq War would pay for itself. (For background, see "Wolfowitz's 'Free' Freedom," http://www.shout.net/~bigred/Wolfowitz.html)

Wolfowitz now heads the World Bank. (Depositors might want to consider a different bank). Wolfowitz also is a "present or former member" of the Project for the New American Century, along with Richard Armitage, Jeb Bush, Dick Cheney, Lewis "Scooter" Libby, Richard Perle, and Donald Rumsfeld. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_for_the_New_American_Century)

And, as mentioned, Fred Kagan, "Mr. Surge Protection," also is part of this PNAC club.

Things at this point don't look so well for the misleadingly named "surge protection" plan. But suppose there were a "catastrophic and catalyzing event" — like an even newer "new Pearl Harbor"? "There are reports of an audacious plan by Islamic terrorists to cause European carnage over the holiday period, targeting the Channel Tunnel." ("Report: Channel Tunnel A Terror Target," CBS/AP, Dec. 23, 2006)

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